Arizona Coyotes: Playoff Formula

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It’s simple Arizona Coyotes!  Win every 10 game segment and you’re in! –

During a long NHL season, it doesn’t matter if it’s game number fifteen or game number seventy-two, they are all worth two points.  Now in saying that, all two points aren’t created equal.

Every game against a division rival is the proverbial “four pointer” and is number one on the list.  Next would be games versus a conference team.  These teams are all vying for one of the two wildcard playoff spots if they aren’t in the top three of their division, so pretty important too.  Last but not least are the games against the teams in the other conference.  These games have no head to head ramifications but are still two important points up for grabs.

Ten game segments    

Playing a long eighty-two game schedule in a tough division and a tough conference can be a daunting task.  So, I, like a lot of NHL coaches, look at an NHL season in ten game segments.  It can help you keep your sanity this way! There are eight, ten game segments and two games left over.  I believe this helps keep the highs and lows on a more even keel.  

Eleven every ten

My theory is that if you can garner a minimum of eleven points in every ten game segment (on average) and win those two extra games you should be in the playoffs or be in the hunt on the last weekend of the season.  The team would have ninety-two points. The Arizona Coyotes first ten game segment was nothing to write home about, finishing 3-6-1 for 7 points.  Like I said, you’re looking for eleven points per segment on average and they missed by four points.  Maybe they will make it right back up in segment number two!  You never know!

I have designated game #41 and game #82 as the two extra games.

Note:  Last year the Dallas Stars needed 91 points to get the last wildcard position. 

The real .500

Ninety-two points is what I call the “Real .500”!  Because of the loser point awarded for OT and SO loses the .500 record is now skewed.  This is the NHL’s version of making the standings look fair and equitable.  Thirty-six – thirty-six – ten (36-36-10) is not a .500 record, it is thirty-six wins and forty-six losses.  It just doesn’t sound as good does it?  Nice try NHL!    

Not all two points are alike

Some will say two points is two points and we’ll take it.  For the most part this is true but all two points aren’t created equal!  A win in regulation sixty minutes is worth two points.  A win in the five minute overtime is worth two points and a win in the shootout is worth two points.  The difference is the NHL puts more weight in the regulation and overtime win for tie-breaking situations and have created a column in the standings called “Regulation and Overtime Wins” (ROW).  This must be the NHL’s way of admitting even THEY don’t like ending a game with a skills competition!

Arizona Coyotes outlook 

After a slow start in their first 10 game segment the Coyotes are well into their second 10 game segment and are playing a little better but still haven’t been consistent on a nightly basis.  As each ten game segment passes, it will start to tell a story.  The more points you can bank in the early segments, the better.  There is going to be cold streaks, injuries and although all games are worth two points they are harder to get later in the season.  Maybe the story will be that the Arizona Coyotes are a playoff team or in contention or they just fall short again. Time will tell so let’s enjoy the view.

I will chart and update the Arizona Coyotes in 10 game segments all year –

The Yotes still have two more games in their second segment and this is where they stand eight games in after their win versus Edmonton on Sunday night.

          As of November 16/2014

AZ seg2

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Comments

  1. Mitch
    I thought the Yotes played a good game against the Ducks.
    Although they came out in periods 1 and 2 very slow they did pick it up in period 3.
    One area continues to sink them. Same mistakes very game. Turnovers at each blue line, not getting the puck in the offensive zone deep Smith making puck handling mistakes and poor puck control, missing coverages not hitting the net over and over
    They can’t make these elementary mistakes, they learned theses plays in Pee Wees.
    Watching the game in 10
    games segments makes sense . I wonder what the history of teams out off the playoff race after the quarter mark making the playoffs?
    Tom

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